The September(?) Post

Aug 18

Started work 6 days ago. It's been a whirlwind. The positive is I got a pretty decent company. They're far from perfect, but you can't bring value to a perfect company, and if I don't bring value there's zero chance of a permanent job. (Not that I think there's much chance of a permanent job anyway, but hey, I can try.) And besides, as a government-sponsored trainee I'm glad they're actually taking the effort to train, rather than going through the motions. That's the least I could ask for.

 

Anyway, I'm constantly tired as hell and I don't have the energy to play much, even less the time. For the first week I managed to quietly get 1-2 hours a day fooling around with my friends in that old game Paladins (by waking up at 1 AM and playing until 2 AM then going back to bed), but yesterday I realized work is so tiring that I can't even do that.

Sept 10

Tomorrow marks one calendar month at work.

It’s actually a pretty tough job and I have limited time for other stuff, writing included. I average 45-50 hours a week in the office. Normally if I have free time I would log into Onenote and write, but since this company contracts to the military the laptops have no internet. So I’m writing this on my phone, which I can’t do too much of as there’s supervisory eyes everywhere.

 

I’m also a little bummed because I’ve been searching everywhere for interesting boss fights and find none related to my game. I feel like I need more research.

Sept 13

I just realized it's been over a month since I last posted to my blog.

Work has taken up my life. I've been clocking about 46-47-ish hours a week in the office. The work isn't exactly easy, either, at least not for my tiny brain.

 

Problem with all my training at university is they teach stuff, but not really how to apply it in a workplace. Like universities taught marginal return of labor, but this company's HR has no way of measuring that, and finance is just too busy to help. So what do you do? The company right now just guesstimates the marginal cost of short-staffing, which I think is problematic - the costs are much, much higher than most people imagine, even experienced managers.

The monthly post - August 2020

Aug 01

So I got a job.

It's a traineeship at a local logistics business, in the 1000+ employee range. Basically they're looking for someone to show the ropes with regards to their HR systems, then having me provide ideas/recommendations for modernization/digitization. I can't quite say "Just like the simulations" but it is related to what I studied in college. So that's good.

 

Job has flaws, of course - not that I want to concentrate on them now. The only negative thing I'm thinking about is how short it all is. The contract is 9 months, and there's no saying the pandemic will be over by then. So if I haven't shown some real value to the company by end of the term I'll be out looking for a job in a pandemic again…and without the aid of government-sponsored traineeships.

 

I admit the stress is keeping me awake.

Aug 06

Preparing hard for the job, buying some new office clothes, visiting the dentist, reading up on topics related to the job. Been…not too happy, despite the good things happening in my life. The reality is I have new challenges to face and I have a bit of fear. I have to perform at my new job; I have to gradually take over the family finances; and I have to do all of this without selling soul to my career or money in general (re: my parents). I also admit I've been losing sleep lately, probably a compounding factor in all this.

 

I also continue to be astounded by how miserable the games industry is. Global competition in games is so saturated and the sheer scale of it is mind-boggling. The more I look at this crap, the more I realize that if I make games as a hobby, I will need to accept the high chance that I could offer it for free and literally nobody will play my game. At a bare minimum I could enjoy it myself.

 

Which then also begs the question why, in such a massive gaming industry, nobody has attempted the game idea that I have. It's hardly an original idea: all I'm basically doing is taking 2 bestselling games and smushing them together. If there was already an existing game that came close to my vision, I would gladly forgo my design ambitions in favor of just playing that game.

Magicked out 2 more job interviews. I noticed that these two interviews were from jobs I only applied to like a few days ago - which means that the 20+ other jobs I've applied to over the past month have not accepted me.

Also yesterday was election day. My vote is clear as per my last post. Some places were crowded and my friends predicted the PAP would get slammed for calling an election during a pandemic, but I walked into an empty polling booth, so voting took me like 5 minutes and I was at little risk of COVID-19. (It's not luck - it's timing.)

But from the results so far my friends don't seem to be wrong. Personally, I'm a PAP supporter but I'm also chill with WP (I just never voted for them simply because they've never contested my GRC). So I'm fine with the election results. Only SDP/PSP make me nervous: my greatest fear as someone who's lived overseas is everyone in SG gets infected with lofty Western-centric ideals of freedom of speech and transparency, not understanding that Westerners rarely actually practice what they preach. CSJ (who leads the SDP) is like the living epitome of this infection. And I've discussed the PSP in the past: I find they adopt very populist policies and that a good portion of their reasoning is not based in fact. So in my eyes, it's good SDP did not do particularly well this election, although I wasn't happy with the PSP's relative success. At a minimum, neither party gained a seat.

The Big Populist Blunder

Kind of in a grey mood. I've only gotten to 2nd stage for 2 openings - and it looks like I'm not getting into one of them, as they said they would get back to me "in one or two weeks" and tomorrow marks the end of said second week.

I would console myself that at least I can take up a shitty job serving fries at McDonald's…but I can't even do that either, because they sure ain't hiring in COVID-19.

I follow a guy on Twitter who is a 'senior analyst' in a small consulting firm. He basically got his job out of college by running a blog that reports on video game statistics in Asia (primarily China): sales numbers, reviews, etc. (I should also probably note this man is about the same age as me, give or take a year.) Thing is, in the 6-ish months I've been following him, I've discovered he doesn't seem to have an outstanding grasp on the financial forces behind his numbers. So he's not really an 'analyst' per se, but more of a financial reporter that specializes in the video game industry in China and greater Asia - that is, his greater skill lies in sourcing for numbers rather than crunching them.

Yet this is the man who has a job, while my hobbies, despite being closely related to his, are not only non-beneficial in my job search, but also burn a somewhat deep hole in my wallet. Talk about bad life decisions.

I could (and should) probably begin writing a lot more about the video games market, not just video games from a design point. While I don't have access to obscure sources like this man does, I believe I have a somewhat cohesive knowledge of the video games market in South-East Asia, and of the economy in general. (Wish I had actually finished an econ minor in college to back this up with paper, but oh well.) I'm thinking I'll do a bit of writing about Singapore politics as well - my political opinions tie in heavily with economics, so it fits the overall theme.

In fact, in lieu of the Singapore 2020 general elections in like 5 days, I thought I'd briefly discuss my vote.

The Big Populist Blunder: Debunking False Information in the PSP's Manifesto

So the two parties contesting my GRC are the PAP and the PSP. Everyone in Singapore is very familiar with the PAP's policies by now, as they are the policies of the existing government, and they've outlined where they're going in rather clear terms. I'm not going to describe them in detail because they are both complex and complicated. Instead, I've decided to look at the PSP.

ChannelNewsAsia did a good piece summarizing the slogans and primary campaign policies of the PSP. It seems their main platform hinge is going to be the economy. The PSP's talking points are mainly about how the "economy must serve Singaporeans, rather than the other way around" and that bringing in foreign labor results in a "trade-off" where there is increased GDP but 'a depression in real wage growth'.

I fact-checked this. The World Bank did a study on immigration and emigration across many countries in 2010 (when immigration into Singapore was around its highest). I quote: "The effect of net migration (combining immigrants and emigrants) on average wages is clearly positive for Canada, Australia and Singapore." (pp. 13) Knowing that Singapore had very few emigrants and a large influx of immigrants at the time (confirmed in said report on pp. 11), it is clear to me that increases in immigration into Singapore actually increases average real wages - the exact opposite of what the PSP is claiming.

So the PSP is wrong. But what actually is going on here? Clearly, if more immigrants are coming in, they're taking jobs that you would otherwise have, and that's going to be bad for your wages. Common sense, right? So what are these ivory towers babbling about?

Not so fast. Basic economics dictates that when something is wanted (people want jobs, for example) there are two forces at play: supply and demand. Indeed, the common sense is actually correct in that immigrants that enter will saturate the job market, shifting the supply curve of employment to the right. But when immigrants enter a country, they also demand goods and services: they consume food, live in houses, so on and so forth, and those things are provided by local workers. So while the work of immigrants drives wages down, the goods and services that these immigrants demand actually drives wages up. So immigration drives wages down and up at the same time - which, of course, can't actually happen in real life. What really does happen is one force overcomes the other: if demand > supply, wages go up and immigrants are good for everyone. If supply > demand, the opposite is true and immigrants are bad.

From here, it's pretty obvious the answer is actually indeterminate. You can't conclusively say "immigration drives wages down" or "immigration drives wages up" - you can only say that it depends on the relative strength of supply and demand. But what you can do is survey real-life economic data, come up with a proper study for specific countries and then draw your conclusions from there. That's exactly what the World Bank did, and lo and behold, they discovered that immigrants benefit all Singaporeans and Singapore residents from a real wage standpoint.

Now, that isn't to say immigrants don't have other consequences for the country. Purely economically speaking, wealthy immigrants do, first of all, push up the Gini; but more than that, there is a softer element that doesn't have well-studied measures. A foreign CEO that bosses others around, shows off their wealth, and hires executives from their hometown while tens of local subordinates remain stagnant in middle management or lower-end jobs is going to have psychological implications on potentially hundreds of employees; and when these employees then take that mental burden to their families and onto the streets, the effect multiplies. The PAP has only started realizing the issue in the past 5-ish years or so (after over a decade of arguing otherwise), and to this day only somewhat addresses it - for example, with heavy economic equity measures outlined in the 2020 budget and with tightening of employment rules last March. It's something, but one might consider that these might be "wayang" policies aimed at garnering election votes; and more concretely, that these current efforts fail to adequately solve or mitigate the problems at hand.

If the PSP were to argue like I just did, I might strongly consider voting for them. But they did not: instead, they chose to base a significant part of their manifesto on an entirely moot point, easily debunked with a combination of Google and any Macro 102 syllabus written post-1980. I will not support a political party that lacks a single prominent member capable of grasping enough economics to say, "Hey, this one-third of our manifesto is honestly a load of BS, so let's rethink this." On the other end, while it is undoubtedly true the PAP's policies possess flaws, they clearly understand the situation on a much higher level (ie: at least past the first-year of a business bachelor's degree) and also have demonstrated some capacity to learn from past mistakes - slowly, reluctantly, but with progress nonetheless. To conclude, my vote this year will be with the PAP.

Post-COVID...???

So my COVID-19 lockdown is over. I could sum my lockdown experience as:

• 5 weeks of studying online courses in SAP HCM and Tableau
• 1.5 weeks of studying Python for the one job application I found over the lockdown (that I obviously failed the online assessment for, as you can't pick up Python in 2 weeks. But at least I tried.)
• About half a week of hammering out cover letters for the government's new trainee jobs - part of their reopening stimulus
• Working on my game (for only a few minutes a day) and playing Guild Wars 2, League of Legends, Arknights, and Terraria when I'm not studying or applying to stuff

I'm pretty disappointed in my failures to actually finish a course, and that I haven't picked up Python to a stronger skill level. I need to practice more, I suppose. 

Only good news is I'm actually done drafting player abilities for my game. Just took me the better portion of 3 months, and I remade vast portions of the entire game in the meantime. (Makes sense when you think about it: games revolve around the things the player can and cannot do, so I had to change the rules of my game when I realized certain cases that shouldn't be.)

My next step is…monsters. Things you kill. And I'll be writing the story to accommodate some of them, particularly the bosses. I'm not sure how they will work, though, because I am neither an animator nor a programmer. I'll try to envision monsters that don't have a lot of moving parts

Beyond that, aside from the occasional chide from parents to 'work harder' (what would you have me do? Not like there were a lot of openings until last week), life is really uneventful. I guess that's good, considering everything I read about what's going on in the world. Nothing really surprises me about it. When I look back I realize US healthcare was always shit (and got worse in the last decade) but I was super young back when I lived there, so it never occurred to me. And the race/police protests thing…well, let's say whatever comes to the US police force, they deserve it. Only real concerning factor to me is probably the Singapore dengue epidemic going on right now.

Guess I should do a life update. It's been a while.

In short, I've been under "circuit breaker" (basically COVID-19-induced soft lockdown) for just over a month now, and have been crunching 3-4 online courses simultaneously: one in Tableau, one in SAP, and one in Python (which I've just started). I've also been planning the game I want to make: adding ideas, and tossing them out at almost the same rate to keep the game small and not overly ambitious.

Right now I want to redo my story…yeah, almost all of it, really.

The original idea was to make a game where you lived in the fall of society as we know it. Post-apocalyptic society is one of the most overdone tropes in video games, but there are far fewer games that play out the apocalypse itself, rather than the aftermath. But somehow it doesn't feel right for my game. Not to mention, we live in pretty uncertain times right now and a nation/society collapsing really isn't too distant of a fantasy. So after being rather frustrated with it for the better portion of a couple months, I think I'm going to toss it out.

I've also been playing Arknights, tower defence gacha game. It's pretty fun. And yesterday I went back to muck around in Guild Wars 2 for a bit as well. I just have to ensure I don't get too addicted - I'm one of those weirdoes who loved Guild Wars 2 and I remember being heavily addicted back in like 2015 or so. I quit playing by simply reminding myself how toxic the PvP community was, and from the insults that I've seen hurled since yesterday, it's pretty clear it still is today.

Beyond Worried

Can't sleep.

The pandemic has me beyond worried. I thought I would be safer from the whole ordeal, here in Singapore. But at 4 PM on Friday the Prime Minister just announced what is effectively a soft lockdown (he simply refuses to call it such). In short, the economy is dead for 30 days, and I will have no jobs to apply to.

There must be a plan, a solution of some sort.

I've been examining applying for an online master's, but as of my searching last night I haven't found anything of substance. Most online graduate degrees of value require 2+ years of work experience, a decently high GPA, letters of recommendation, an essay…it's not looking good.

I keep searching into the night. Udemy has a number of courses, all 80-90% off. I buy two units on full stack development. The way I see coding now, it's a trade, a way to stay alive if my HR career never gets off the ground. (I'll probably buy a few more later today, given how cheap they are and because software dev pays more than full stack dev.) Plus, there's also the SAP course my dad wanted me to take. I should sign up for the next level.

Frustrated, I open Path of Exile and The Jim Rutt Show. Rutt calls the COVID-19 pandemic "the worst shock to American society since WWII". What does that mean for me? I do not know. The world is so uncertain, and I don't know my place in it.

A small observation on the third horseman

Of the famed four horsemen of Revelation, the Bible makes clear the agencies of the second and fourth horsemen (war and death), while the first and third are more open to interpretation. By far the most common interpretation of the third horsemen I have seen is that of famine. A few think it "imperial oppression" of some sort. Directly, the Bible says this of the third horsemen:

When He broke the third seal, I heard the third living creature saying, "Come." I looked, and behold, a black horse; and he who sat on it had a pair of scales in his hand. And I heard something like a voice in the center of the four living creatures saying, "A quart of wheat for a denarius, and three quarts of barley for a denarius; but do not damage the oil and the wine." (Revelations 6:5-6 NASB)

While it may not be evident to the modern reader, this much is established: the prices of the wheat and barley are absurdly expensive. If this was a merchant talking to a worker (earning one denarius a day), the worker would only be able to afford enough rice to feed himself that night, or enough barley to feed a family of three. Thus this produces the common interpretation of famine - that a lack of food has driven up prices to unsustainable levels. It is also of note that the oil and wine were not affected, either because these plants have deeper roots and so would be less susceptible to things like locust plagues, or because the society in the visions were overproducing oil and wine to suit their wealthy landlords (as the Roman Empire was doing at the time), and thus not producing adequate staple crops.

I think that famine is a very plausible explanation. But remember, this is merely one possible truth, and not a necessary truth. The verse does not specify that there is any shortage of wheat or barely; it merely states that the prices are high. So rather, the core of what the verse describes is price inflation, with no real explanation as to how or why.

Now, 'the horseman of inflation' probably does not sound quite as fearsome as 'the horseman of famine,' but its implications are far more chilling. Excessive inflation has had a silent but significant hand in many of human history's most horrific events. In fact, the earliest recorded inflation-induced destruction in Western history is none other than the fall of the Roman Empire itself, the very civilization that Jesus preached in. (At the time there was little theoretical understanding of economics, so Revelations would be truly prophetic!)

I believe the third horseman is not simply the horseman of famine or inflation, but the horseman of a broader malaise: unbridled, uncontrolled desire for economic gain - which in turn, produces symptoms such as famine or price inflation. What makes capitalism and its elements so insidious is that it is like cholesterol: a bit of it is not only good, it is necessary to keep the wheels of society turning. But like all things, these must be consumed in moderation. When a society sips upon the temptations for excessive capitalism, greed conquers the hearts of men, and the third horseman rides.

The Ides of March, 2020

Ides of March post, although it's already the 11th. Resume's pretty much done, although I'm passing it through a friend to give me some last feedback. I have a bunch of internship ads saved and plan to finish off my SAP course so I can finally apply.

My birthday's in 3 days. Used to be a bad time for me. The last time anyone aside from my parents remembered my birthday was my ex - and I left her that day four years ago, beginning the slow slip into depression. I don't really think too much about it anymore. Funny, I don't even really remember how I managed to not be miserable all the time. Flipping back through my diary, I wrote that I did this:

• Finding a major in college that I actually enjoyed and wasn't absolutely hopeless at. And I'm graduated now of course, so that's even better.
• A strict and time-consuming regiment of diet, exercise, and general self-care that would have stunned my parents. I'm happy I no longer need to keep it up to retain a positive self-image, as I'd get nothing done in life.
• Realizing that I wasn't completely friendless in college, much less in life.
• Finding a new hobby - writing a story in the hopes I will be able to adapt it into a video game one day; and planning out the game itself.

I don't know which ones were effective, honestly. I felt like I kind of had to do all of it to get better, and in a way I still think so. I guess I could have had a different hobby, but at the time I didn't really have much time or resources to pursue other hobbies, so I made do with what I had, which was school stationary and a laptop with video games installed.

Speaking of which. The legendary video game designer Hideaki Itsuno once said that all good games need a theme. I was really struggling with this. I had a clear general direction but didn't have an overhanging sentence or phrase that I could point to and say, "this is what my game is about."

Well, that changed a couple mornings ago. I was reading my Twitter feed at breakfast, which was (as with most mornings nowadays) filled with news on the COVID-19 outbreak. But that morning, something clicked.

Call it a silver lining, I guess, that in this crisis I managed to get something good for my story.

2/2020

Feb 27

I'm trying to do 4 blog posts a month, at least until I'm employed again.

Anyway, after God-knows-how-many applications, my dad finally began to question why I wasn't even getting to the interview stage. Personally I believe I was aiming too high, picking roles at major companies with 2-3 years' experience rather than 0-2 (which are much fewer in quantity). But he decided to take a look at my resume, and concluded that it was hot garbage (my words, not his).

Funny. Most of my friends remember me tidying up my resume around December and venting because I was asking him for help and just getting a sort of "do it yourself." Like I appreciate he's trying to push me to be more independent, but this is really something I could use experienced guidance on?? Hello???

Oh well. He spent an evening giving me a bunch of advice and now I'm over here trying to revamp the thing. Better late than never.

I'd have made much better progress by yesterday, too, had Mom not been yelling her ass off at the maid for the whole bloody day, resulting in a lasting headache. One thing that's better about my household - eight, nine years ago my parents would have just told me to stop being a sissy and finish the work even while sick. They're a lot more considerate now. (No doubt some of it is because of the current COVID-19 epidemic too.) Doesn't change the fact it's loud as fuck, though, or that they were at it again this morning.

Feb 29

Hey, leap year day.

So I'm on the verge of finally tidying up my resume. It's good timing because I don't have much to play at the moment. Monster Hunter World added a new quest and Azur Lane has an event, but that's about it. I've even been so bored that I went and bought myself a copy of the old classic Diablo II to replay. (When I played it as a kid it was on a pirated copy as I had no money back then, so this is due payment for the fun I had).

Yet as I say this:

• Grim Dawn updated today
• Guild Wars 2 updated yesterday
• Path of Exile announced its next update, eta 2 weeks
• Warfame has even announced its sweetest update in years - after leaking players like I predicted, they finally decided to listen and make the changes I (and many other players) have been asking for (for years, mind you).

So there's a lot to do. After I finish my resume I have to go back to revising my SAP course. I've done all the lessons but I need to revise so I can pass the online exam.